Elections & Ballot Measures

Forecast voter response and win ballot measures.

AlphaVu predicts voter sentiment, identifies swing precincts, and tests campaign messaging—so you can allocate resources where they matter most and communicate with precision.

Forecast Scenario testing Executive briefs

What this unlocks

Forecast ballot measure outcomes by precinct
Identify persuadable voters and swing districts
Counter opposition messaging in real time
Optimize ad spend and outreach allocation

What teams do with AlphaVu

Outcome-first workflows for campaign managers, political consultants, and advocacy organizations.

Workflows
Core workflows
  • Forecast precinct-level support for ballot initiatives
  • Simulate message framing and timing scenarios
  • Monitor and counter opposition narratives
  • Prepare leadership with decision-ready polling alternatives
The case for prediction

Polls are snapshots. AlphaVu is a forecast. Traditional polling tells you where things stood yesterday. AlphaVu tells you where sentiment is heading—by precinct, segment, and message variant—so you can act before election day.

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Example questions AlphaVu answers

Real questions that AlphaVu answers for campaign and advocacy teams.

Example question
Ask

What's the current predicted outcome for our ballot measure, and which precincts are swing?

Example question
Ask

If the opposition launches [attack message], how does support shift—and what's our best counter-frame?

Example question
Ask

Which undecided voter segments are most persuadable, and what message moves them from lean-no to lean-yes?

See AlphaVu on your decisions

Bring one real scenario. We'll show the forecast, the drivers, and what changes outcomes.

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